Projects the major historical events of the 21st century using a determinist geopolitical framework. The US will benefit from centrifugal forces in China and the Russian-dominated Caucasus, and then see off a wartime alliance of Turkey and Japan, which along with US ally Poland will have emerged as major players. (The Islamist challenge will dissipate because it lacks geopolitical mass.) Key trends include population decline (which will vitiate global warming), the American-led militarization of space and its attendant civilian benefits (particularly in energy), new forms of warfare that pull back from the social mobilization of total war, and the impact of America’s 50-year cycles — due in 2030 and 2080. The rupture of 2030 will lead the US to encourage immigration; its space edge (and continued control of the seas) will carry the States through the midcentury war; but the cultural weakness of the Hispanic fifth column in the southwest ‘borderlands’ will prove a liability as the century ends. Strongly informed by a sharp reading of history, but at times almost Marxist in its faith in the inevitability of events. There is little here in the way of political thought.