Surveys the evolution of continental conflict through professional and socio-national lenses from the medieval ages to the Cold War, observing the extent of 20th-century warfare (if not the moral conditions) had returned to that of the Dark Ages. Howard is often interested to demonstrate an equilibrium between political events and military technology, or more broadly between offense and defense. Not only the proverbial generals but indeed modern societies misjudge the wars of the future: conflict, being pervasive, tends to overwhelm military doctrine with new challenges.
The waves of Saracen, Magyar, and above all Norse attacks had prompted the rise of local strongmen; the Norman conquest created Christian Europe’s most complement implementation of feudalism. By the 14th century laws and limitations of knightly warfare and service obligations were fairly uniform. A century later, after the French taille became permanent, her kings maintained standing armies which replaced knightly warlords. Swiss pikemen were the elite infantry, by dint of technical structure and sociopolitical organization; the cavalry comprised aristocrats; and improving artillery could reduce fortified castles – conditions recognizable in the Napoleonic era.
Infantry fighting in the 16th century was shaped by the tercios of Spain, where the cavalry were less prestigious (but indeed nobles in the ranks). Holland was the century’s outlier, her armies regularly paid and drilled, producing a previously unknown discipline in the ranks. In the era of exploration, ships had to be able to cargo and to fight; privateers were the equivalent of condottiere. The profit of the West Indies was in smuggling and piracy. But on land, contrary to the prior ages of mercenaries pillaging of peasant countrysides, rival dynasties were increasingly able to tap the ‘national’ creation of wealth, such as by chartered companies, and trade was seen as a form of war, for example by Colbert. By result, they could operate bureaucracies to run armed forces.
In the 18th century, the proto-nation-state took full control of warfare, including at seas. War became the province of professional soldiers, especially the officer class. Again the Dutch were tactical leaders in defensive fortification (digging) as well as drilling. The stoicism required by rank formation sat well with the Protestant ethic of self-discipline.
Well-qualified generals had begun to appear in the second half of the prior century, the greatest being the Duke of Marlborough. The notable administrators were Michel Le Tellier and his son the Marquis de Louvois, serving Louis XIV, which helped the French army to become the most efficient instrument of state power yet seen. Meanwhile the Great Elector Frederick William of Brandenburg traded his notables recognition of existing privileges for a small grant of funds to raise a stranding army. In effect they conceded their right to tax themselves. Consequently royal officials were sent to assess land values, which produced further monies for additional personnel and hence further tax. The Prussian officer ranks became a social elite. Armies, being expensive, were concerned to avoid battle and potential loss. Campaigns were inconclusive, over short four-to-five month windows. Strategy focused on siege, fortification, supply and logistics.
The Enlightenment saw war as unreasonable, the economist as destroying wealth. But professionalization and theory would be supplanted by nationalism, beginning with Napoleonic France. The resulting enlargement reintroduced speed of movement and scale of attack, while requiring coordination of deployment (but not always supply). The entire populace was involved in production, coordinated by government, so the whole of the enemy nation had to be reduced.
Napoleon sought to concentrate fire against a single point made vulnerable by the division of forces, often that point being the communications linchpin. When neutralized, the enemy was forced either to capitulate or to fight in smaller (inferior) units. He introduced broad dispersion coupled with rapid reassembly. All European forces would adopt his organization of forces, divided and subdivided among corps, divisions, brigades, and so on.
The British navy exploited new signaling systems allowing for more elaborate use of improved battle tactics. In the Napoleonic wars, its role was not to stop trade with Europe, but to blockade so as to force commerce through Britain, to complement attritional strategy. Consequently Napoleon was forced to install the hated Continental system to requisition needed military supplied. Russia, in part for lack of English timber and grains, responded by changing sides in 1812. Winter in Russia as well as Wellington in Spain then denied the French the decisive battle of concentrated forces.
Afterward Europe’s sought to contain ‘liberal’ / national sentiments, for example in the Habsburg empire. Later in the 19th century, Moltke converted Germany’s staff officers to an elite which rotated in and out of command posts. 1870 was as much a systemic as a military victory, the romantic heroism of independent command falling to wayside. Britain and the US later joined suit, following poor performance in the Boer and Spanish wars (in Cuba).
Prior to the Great War, it was assumed population for the army’s ranks, economic production, and railroad capacity would determine military capability, in contrast to the 18th century’s preference for caliber of professional forces. Between 1815 and 1914 communications capabilities transformed strategy, and newly destructive technology changed tactics. The impetus was attack – despite evident of growing defensive advantage – in order to make the enemy use finite resources. Howard dismisses the idea that elites promoted the national fervor of 1914-15; they distrusted nationalism. Enthusiasm belonged more to democratic views promoted by Hegel, Mazzini, etc. By the end of World War I, the artillery took ground, the infantry held it, and ground itself was important for observing and siting artillery. Simultaneously gaps between professional soldiery and democratic politicians were emerging.
Technology not only increase the destructiveness of weapons but also the care of troops. In the 18th century, casualty by injury and disease outnumbered battlefield deaths by 5:1; now the ratio reversed. The popular understanding of World War I’s ‘alienation’ is far from wholly true: the interwar years evidence nostalgia for clear purpose, especially in MittelEuropa (i.e., fascism).
Naval defeats of Spain (by the USA in1898) and Russia (by Japan in 1904) foretold the changing naval balance of power, while making clear technology (not popular participation) dominated war as sea. Submarines were the primary example. Though the cult of the mass army had passed by the end of World War II, latter-day societies were more thoroughly subsumed in economic production or exposure to mass bombing, taking them back beyond the early modern era.
Strategy
12. Petraeus and Roberts, Conflict (29 June 2025)
Studies the development of counterinsurgency doctrine in the postwar era, characterized by asymmetric military-political operations. Selected case studies illustrate the thesis that the people are the prize, until in later phases the conventional or the exit becomes possible.
Between 1943 and 1975, almost all western Europe’s colonies were handed back, in aggregate history’s largest recorded transfer of territory. Malaya, 1952-54, was among the most successful counterinsurgency campaigns. The British protected villages, eschewed torture for productive interrogation, and trained locals in security measures and low-key fighting and maneuvers. Contemporary Borneo evidenced the importance of British offensive action: containment fails if solely passive. In this era, generally the British come of favorably to the Americans.
In Vietnam, the US ignored winning the populace, instead seeking to stop a North Korea-style invasion, though the engagement’s different nature was already evident by 1959. Generalship under the Kennedy and Johnson administrations reprised Eisenhower-era tradecraft: Johnson even authorized Westmoreland to send troops against insurgents operating independent of South Viet forces. 95% of combat forces engaged in search-and-destroy mission instead of clear-and-hold; Westmoreland did not retain what had been cleared. (Later the Americans made the mistake of rotating individuals not units, at the expense of continuity.) The authors conclude, however, that failure in Vietnam bought time for Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia, and Singapore to stave off Communist expansion. Relatedly, if government is charged with protecting individual rights, then rights must inhere in individuals.
Indochina raised the question of how to separate anti-communism from nationalism. In Algeria, the European population was approximately 10 percent of 10.5 million, a substantially higher proportion, pointing up new questions of self-determination. Torture in that African country was considered antithetical to French values, making it unpopular in France.
1973’s Yom Kippur war showed deterrence works only when consequences are seen to be overwhelming. (Conventionally, attacking forces ought to outnumber defenders by at least 3:1, concentrating on the most vulnerable points.) Money spent on deterrence is seldom wasted, in comparison with the cost of war.
The Falklands War illustrated the evolution of naval campaigning, that is the integration of tactical land action. Smallish military operations in Grenada and Panama offered further lessons; absent Grenda, it’s doubtful the US would have improved its joint operations. As it turned out the USSR saw evidence for conceding.
Vietnam had introduced casualty rates as a focus of domestic criticism; 1993’s debacle in Somalia persuaded the US to stay out of Rwanda. Then the Falklands, Iraq, Serbia, and Gaza brought forth a just war-flavored idea of acceptable enemy rates – at least in Western countries. The UN has usually failed in its original mission of preventing interstate conflict. (It’s better at managing children, refugees, and world health(!).) To what extent are powerful nations responsible for the affairs of failed states even though they have no national interest there?
At the start of the 1990s in Iraq, precision munitions constituted 2% of armament; at the end in the Balkans, the proportion had grown to 90%. Hence the future of the West depends in part on the best fighter planes and pilots. In the 21st century, Western armies have become very dependent on civilian technologies such as robotics, data analytics, and AI, a reversal of the prior century. (AI is tactically brilliant but strategically banal, George Friedman writes.) After a century which favored mobility and agility, drones may reintroduce the advantages of mass and quantity. Not only supply chains but generalized interdependence of the Western countries has created more vulnerability. But the authors denigrate ‘isolationism’ (presumably in contradistinction to freeloading).
Turning to Petraeus’ direct participation, the primary issue confronting Afghanistan’s postwar government in 2001 was incorporating the defeated Taliban. Managing the country was a more difficult matter than Iraq, despite a lower level of social violence, because of its geography: no roads, harsh winters, and the proximity of sanctuary in Pakistan. Karzai would ultimately fail to assemble a catholic loya jirga, despite military and civil assistance outstripping the Marshall Plan. By 2006, the Taliban was again on the offensive. Counterinsurgency tactics must persist in the postwar. Relatedly, there’s nothing wrong with planning to withdraw, but announcement removes every reason to cooperate.
In post-Saddam Iraq, Petraeus’ predecessor Jerry Bremer went too far in replacing the prior regime, notably security personnel, thereby destroying the successor state’s foundation. Maliki ruled in narrow interests, as in Vietnam, leading to civil war. Condoleezza Rice’s clear-and-hold would have performed better than Don Rumsfeld’s soon-as-possible transition. Further, Bremer ruled as a viceroy. Every liberating army has a half-life before it becomes an occupier: stripping back too far reduces both goodwill and time. Petraeus elaborates his technical approach; one wonders what was censored?
In contemporary Ukraine, Putin didn’t see the advantages of the World War II offensive had shifted in the Internet era to defensive postures, facilitated by distributed communications and low-tech harassment. Russia’s numerical advantage was too low, especially for urban warfare, and Moscow’s ineffectively steered tactical adjustments, deployment of reserves, logistics, etc. (The Ukrainians could rely on fixed-base logistics, the Russians could not.) Evidence as at time of writing is warfare had returned to the strategy of the hedgehog: when there is little sanctuary, the defense must disperse.
Modern military leadership entails grasp of the strategic situation – getting the big picture right – effectively communicating to troops and also civilian leaders, and driving execution. Officers recursively refine, adapt, and supplement.
8. Gordon, Dominion Partnership in Imperial Defense, 1870-1914 (25 May 2023)
Traces efforts to establish an imperial defense strategy encompassing Australia, New Zealand, Canada, and the Cape Colony in the years leading to World War I. The burden fell on Britain’s naval leaders, as the sea is not divisible, and while Churchill and Haldane made late efforts to establish political consensus, the matter was never solved: the British ultimately withdrew so as to defend the North Sea against Germany.
From 1850, Lord Grey championed relieving the British taxpayer, who shouldered 90 percent of defense costs. The Mills committee of 1862 commenced a decade-long withdrawal of military (army) postings to the dominions, paradoxically making imperialism a safe political cause. Britain thought the maturing colonies should progress from self-sufficiency to enlightened interest in the empire but the colonials wrangled over autonomy and the size of naval-subsidy payments to London. 1878’s Russian war scare carried the debate to more comprehensive review of imperial defense; in the following decade, the colonies were asked to participate in London’s councils.
Whether the empire ought to be a zollverein or kriegsverein remained unanswered: imperial federation were dead by the turn of the century, and as political imperialism waned, the Colonial Office’s Colonial Defense Committee (which morphed into the Committee for Imperial Defense) made the running. Yet the dominions were ‘patriotically’ responsive to the Boer War demands. Though the 1902 Colonial Conference produced no real advances in defense doctrine. Fisher’s appointment to the Admiralty and the initiation of two parliamentary committees in fact brought technical matters to a new phase. In this decade, the Canadians were pleased to acquire and staff two bases; the Aussies basked in the visit of America’s White Fleet, proof of a second partner against Japan.
The dreadnought crisis of 1909 opened the way to Canadian- and Australian-controlled navies, since Britain needed to husband cash to stave off the German buildup. Aussies welcomed Deakin’s efforts, while the Canadians contested Laurier’s for it cut across Anglo-French rivalries. (The New Zealanders, neither worried about the United States nor evidencing latent distrust of Irish immigrants, were typically content to sit close by the UK.) Thought the navy’s ‘blue water’ doctrine masked the degree to which the UK was retreating, the metropole knew the fight would be in Europe.
15. Morison, Strategy and Compromise (18 Nov 2007)
Limns the Allies’ key strategic decisions of World War II, dividing them geographically between the two major theaters and presenting them sequentially within each. Europe takes pride of place because America committed to defeating Hitler first. The author, an admiral turned Harvard professor, is frequently critical of the British predilection for nipping Europe’s edges (as well as its quibbles with American resources sent to the Pacific), but acknowledges Overlord would have been more difficult before 1944, once Torch was approved in 1942. Island hopping the way to Japan also was a synthetic solution (thus the title), but Morison speaks relatively little of the decision to use atomic weaponry. Admirable introduction, great Mill Valley library pickup.
7. Paret, Makers of Modern Strategy (6 Nov 2009)
Illuminates enduring ideas and uses of military strategy since the 16th century. Leading thinkers and practitioners oscillate between views of strategy (following Clausewitz, the systematic approach to warfare absent one’s foes; tactics incorporate active engagement) as science and artifice. Clausewitz; Smith and Hamilton, who identified economics as a source of power; and Gordon Craig’s study of politicians as emergent strategists are among the most interesting chapters. The rise of German strategy, in various phases and components, inevitably forms a leading theme, given the country’s responsibility for the World War II and oft-presumed culpability for World War I. Cold War nuclear thinking is rather less interesting, particularly as the scholarship predates understanding Reagan. The next frontier is strategy in the era of terrorism, particularly Islamo-fascism. An outstanding collection.